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New publication by Jonas Geweke and Katja Rost: «Lottery-Based Elections, Power Monopolization, and Urban Development»

The study explores the consequences of aleatoric governance in Swiss city-states during the 17th and 18th centuries . The authors find that city-states that implemented lotteries for political elections saw greater equality in political representation, more merchants in power, and better urban development outcomes compared to those that did not. 

A new research article has been published:

«Lottery-Based Elections, Power Monopolization, and Urban Development: The Case of Swiss City-States, 1666–1794»

Jonas Geweke and Prof. Dr. Katja Rost.

First published online July 10, 2025 in The Journal of Economic History.

Read full article here:https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050725100910

Abstract:

Early modern urban parliaments suffered an increasing monopolization of political power that hampered urban development. To combat power monopolization, some Swiss city-states reformed their election systems by randomly selecting political representatives from a pre-elected pool of candidates. We implement a difference-in-differences design and find that lottery-based election systems improved the equality of distribution of political seats within parliaments. Lottery-based elections also had positive effects on trade tax revenues, trade volumes, and infrastructure expenditures. We explain this finding by showing that lottery-based election systems fostered the election of merchants to top political positions.

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Prof. Dr. Katja Rost has been a full professor of sociology and private lecturer in economics at the University of Zurich since 2012. Her research focuses on economic and organizational sociology (digital historical sociology, gender stereotypes, elite sociology, sociology of digitalization and innovation).

About

Jonas Geweke was a research assistant and PhD student at the Chair of Prof. Rost. His research lies at the intersection of Economic History and Economic Sociology, employing quantitative methods to analyse archival sources. His dissertation project investigates the development of various dimensions of inequality within early modern city-states.